📊
BSE Sensex Deep Analysis
Tomorrow’s Trading Blueprint – July 18, 2025
📈 Sensex Current Status & Market Pulse
Current Level
82,259
-375 points (-0.45%)
Day’s Range
82,180 – 82,680
500 points spread
Volume
2.45B
Above average
Market Cap
₹341.2L Cr
BSE Universe
📊 Market Insight: Sensex has declined 375 points to close at 82,259, showing increased selling pressure compared to earlier in the week. The index has broken below key support levels and is now testing the 82,200-82,300 range. This decline reflects broader market concerns about valuations and FII selling pressure.
🎯 Technical Analysis & Key Levels
Critical Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support
82,281
Strong buying interest expected
Major Support
81,990
Critical level for bulls
Immediate Resistance
82,802
Previous day’s high
Major Resistance
83,324
Weekly high to watch
🎯 Tomorrow’s Opening Prediction
Expected Opening Range: 82,100 – 82,400
Trend: Negative to flat opening expected
Key Trigger: Infosys Q1 results and FII selling pressure
Intraday Range: 81,800 – 82,600
📊 Sentiment Analysis
Overall Sensex Sentiment: Cautiously Bearish
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish
Neutral
Bullish
🔴 Bearish Factors
• FII selling pressure (₹1,500 crore daily outflows)
• High valuations concerns from global institutions
• Break below 82,281 support level
• Global economic uncertainty
🟢 Bullish Factors
• Strong realty sector performance
• Banking sector resilience
• Low India VIX (12.32)
• Value buying opportunities
🎮 Trading Strategies for Sensex
🎯 Day Trading Strategy
Entry: Buy above 82,400 for target 82,800
Stop Loss: Below 82,100
Risk-Reward: 1:1.5
Time Frame: 9:30 AM – 3:15 PM
Strategy: Breakout trading above resistance
📈 Swing Trading Strategy
Entry: Buy in 82,200-82,400 range
Target: 83,500-84,000
Stop Loss: Below 81,800
Time Frame: 3-5 days
Strategy: Support-based accumulation
🎪 Options Strategy
Strategy: Iron Condor (82,500-83,000)
Sell: 82,700 CE & 82,700 PE
Buy: 82,500 PE & 83,000 CE
Max Profit: If Sensex closes 82,600-82,800
Risk: Limited to premium paid
🛡️ Risk Management
Position Size: Maximum 2% of capital
Stop Loss: Mandatory at 1% below entry
Profit Booking: 50% at first target
Trailing SL: After 1:1 risk-reward
Max Loss: 2% per trade
🏆 Top Sensex Stocks Analysis
RELIANCE
Weight: 8.5%
HOLD – Consolidation phase
TCS
Weight: 7.2%
AVOID – Weak Q1 results
HDFC BANK
Weight: 6.8%
BUY – Banking strength
INFOSYS
Weight: 6.1%
WATCH – Q1 results due
ICICI BANK
Weight: 5.4%
BUY – Strong fundamentals
HINDUNILVR
Weight: 4.9%
HOLD – Defensive play
L&T
Weight: 4.2%
BUY – Infrastructure play
SBIN
Weight: 3.8%
HOLD – PSU bank leader
📋 Action Plan for Tomorrow
🎯 Pre-Market Preparation
9:00 AM: Check SGX Nifty and global cues
9:10 AM: Monitor Infosys Q1 results impact
9:15 AM: Assess opening levels vs prediction
9:30 AM: Execute strategy based on opening
🎪 Intraday Milestones
10:00 AM: First hour trend confirmation
11:00 AM: WPI data release impact
2:00 PM: Banking sector strength assessment
3:00 PM: Closing strategy execution
⚠️ Important Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Stock market investments carry substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Sensex can be volatile and unpredictable. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading losses incurred based on this analysis.
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